During our general election campaigning in Waterlooville, Bishops Waltham and Wickham the issue of tactical voting has been raised by a number of Labour supporters.  Before making a decision to vote ‘Tactically’, I would urge you to consider the following observations.

In the 2017 General Election, Conservatives won the Meon Valley seat by 35,624.  Labour came second with 9,932 votes and Lib Dem third with 5,900 votes (Green 1,301 and UKIP 1,435).

Clearly, trying to predict the outcome of the coming election will be particularly difficult in view of Brexit and its impact on splitting parties.  However, there does appear to be a number of givens:  Firstly, it’s safe to say that now UKIP are not in the picture, there is a strong probability that those voters will turn/return to the Tories.  Secondly, the results of the EU referendum suggest that there are a considerable number of Tories who voted to remain and in all probability some might switch their vote to the Lib Dems.  Having said that, it’s a stretch of the imagination to think that a significant number of Tories would fall into this category.  At the risk of losing the seat and/ or the general election its reasonable to assume that most Conservative leavers will stay put.

In spite of all the uncertainty surrounding this election, as far as the Meon Valley is concerned, it could well be argued that the Conservatives have a safe seat…for now!

What is crucial for Labour, is that their voters demonstrate that support for the party is steadily growing; as evidenced in the results of the last general election.

In conclusion, and to pick up on some of the conversations we have had on the street, now is the time to show your colours.  You may feel you are drowning in a ‘sea of blue’ but the red horizon is coming through.  Stand against the Jeremy Corbyn smear campaign.  Vote for what you believe in, Vote Labour.

June Kershaw

Chair of Meon Valley CLP

Data Source: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000811

2017 Meon Valley General Election Result
2017 Meon Valley General Election Result
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